Key insight: Commercial real estate investing comes down to two things — the quality of the tenant's credit and the quality of the lease structure. A Dollar General on a 15-year NNN lease is a fundamentally different investment than a local restaurant on a 3-year gross lease, even at the same cap rate. Use our free NNN analysis tool to compare deals side by side.
The Three Lease Structures Explained
The biggest variable in commercial real estate analysis is understanding exactly what expenses the tenant pays vs. what the landlord pays. This directly determines your true net income and effective yield.
Triple Net (NNN)
Tenant pays rent plus property taxes, insurance, and maintenance. Landlord collects truly passive income.
Tenant pays:
- Property taxes
- Building insurance
- Maintenance & repairs
- HVAC, roof (sometimes)
Double Net (NN)
Tenant pays rent plus taxes and insurance, but landlord handles structural repairs and maintenance.
Tenant pays:
- Property taxes
- Building insurance
- Interior maintenance
Gross Lease
Tenant pays a flat rent; landlord covers all operating expenses. Common for office and some retail spaces.
Landlord pays:
- Property taxes
- Insurance
- All maintenance
- Often utilities
How Lease Structure Affects Your Analysis
A $100,000 annual rent payment means very different things depending on the lease structure. Consider a 5,000 SF property:
- NNN at $20 PSF: You receive $100,000 and pay essentially nothing in operating costs. NOI ≈ $100,000.
- NN at $20 PSF: You receive $100,000 but cover maintenance and capital items. Budget $0.50–$1.00 PSF/yr for reserves. NOI ≈ $97,500–$95,000.
- Gross at $20 PSF: You receive $100,000 but pay taxes (~$1.5 PSF), insurance (~$0.50 PSF), maintenance (~$1.00 PSF). NOI ≈ $85,000 — 15% less than a NNN deal at the same rent.
This is why NNN properties command lower cap rates (higher prices relative to income) than gross lease properties — the income stream is more predictable and requires no management attention.
2025 NNN Cap Rate Benchmarks
Cap rates for NNN retail properties vary significantly based on tenant credit, lease term remaining, location, and property type:
| Tenant / Property Type | Cap Rate Range 2025 | Lease Term | Credit Rating |
| McDonald's, Starbucks | 4.0–5.0% | 15–20 yr | Investment grade |
| Dollar General, Dollar Tree | 5.5–6.5% | 10–15 yr | Investment grade |
| Walgreens, CVS | 5.0–6.0% | 15–25 yr | Investment grade |
| AutoZone, O'Reilly | 5.5–6.5% | 10–15 yr | Investment grade |
| Regional/local retail | 6.5–9.0% | 3–10 yr | Non-rated |
| Fast food (franchisee) | 5.0–7.0% | 10–15 yr | Varies |
| Strip center (multi-tenant) | 6.75–7.5% | Mixed | Mixed |
2025 market note: NNN cap rates have risen approximately 50–75 basis points from their 2022 lows as financing costs increased. While rates have begun to ease, NNN deals are still trading at historically rational levels relative to Treasuries. The average NNN cap rate spread over the 10-year Treasury is 150–200 basis points.
Tenant Credit Quality — The Most Important Factor
In a NNN deal, you're essentially buying a bond backed by the tenant's creditworthiness. Investment-grade tenants (BBB- or better from S&P) represent dramatically lower default risk than non-rated tenants. Key things to evaluate:
- Corporate guarantee vs. franchisee guarantee: A McDonald's with a corporate guarantee (backed by McDonald's Corporation) is fundamentally safer than a franchisee with 5 locations. The cap rate difference can be 100–150 bps.
- Lease term remaining: A 20-year lease with zero near-term rollover risk trades at a much lower cap rate than a 3-year lease.
- Rent escalations: Fixed 10% bumps every 5 years or CPI-based? Flat rent for the entire lease? This dramatically affects IRR over a 10-year hold.
- Replacement cost vs. purchase price: Would it cost more or less to build this building at today's costs? Properties trading below replacement cost have an embedded margin of safety.
The Complete NNN Analysis Framework
Here's the step-by-step process for analyzing a NNN retail investment:
- Calculate annual base rent: Rent per SF × leaseable square footage × 12. Confirm against the actual lease document.
- Determine lease structure: What does the tenant pay? What do you pay? Calculate the landlord's true net income after any retained expenses.
- Calculate going-in cap rate: Net rent ÷ purchase price. Compare to market comps for this tenant type and lease term.
- Model rent escalations: When do bumps occur? How large are they? Build a 10-year rent schedule.
- Size the debt: At today's NNN financing rates (5.75–6.5% for 7–10 year fixed), what DSCR does this deal support? Lenders typically require 1.25×.
- Calculate debt yield: NOI ÷ loan amount. Target 8–10% minimum. Lenders increasingly use this as the primary credit metric.
- Calculate breakeven occupancy: (Operating expenses + debt service) ÷ gross potential income. Should be well below 100% — ideally below 80%.
- Model the exit: At year 10, what is the NOI? At what cap rate will this property trade (accounting for shorter remaining lease term)? Calculate IRR.
Key Metrics for NNN / Commercial Analysis
Cap Rate = NOI ÷ Purchase Price
DSCR = NOI ÷ Annual Debt Service
Debt Yield = NOI ÷ Loan Amount
Breakeven Occupancy = (OpEx + DS) ÷ GPR
For a realistic Dollar General deal ($1.115M, 7.0% cap, 6.25% loan rate, 10-year term):
- Annual rent: $78,050
- NOI: ~$78,050 (NNN, minimal landlord expenses)
- Going-in cap: 7.0%
- Loan amount (65% LTV): $724,750
- DSCR: 1.31× (passes lender minimums)
- Debt yield: 10.8% (strong)
- Cash-on-cash return: ~4.5%
- 10-year IRR (with 2% rent bumps): ~8.3%
Common Mistakes in NNN Analysis
- Not reading the actual lease. The rent schedule, lease structure, and termination rights are in the lease document — not the broker's marketing flyer. Always read the lease before making an offer.
- Ignoring options to renew at reduced rent. Some leases have renewal options at below-market rent. This matters enormously for your exit cap rate when you sell.
- Underestimating re-leasing costs. When a NNN tenant vacates, you face significant downtime, TI allowances, and leasing commissions. A 12-month NNN deal with a tenant that has low renewal probability is a much riskier investment than it appears.
- Missing rent bumps in the IRR calculation. Flat rent for a 15-year lease has dramatically lower IRR than a lease with 10% bumps every 5 years. Model this explicitly.
- Using going-in cap as exit cap. A property you buy today with 20 years of NNN lease will have only 10 years remaining when you sell. The exit cap rate will be higher (lower price) to compensate for the shorter lease term.
🏬 Free Commercial / NNN Analysis Tool
Analyze your NNN deal in under 5 minutes
Input your rent schedule, lease structure, and financing terms. Get cap rate, DSCR, debt yield, breakeven occupancy, IRR, and a sensitivity table — with Excel export.
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